Korean Journal of Nephrology 1988;7(2):359-364.
우리나라 만성신부전 환자 중 혈액투석 이용 환자수 예측에 관한 연구
윤성철 , 조인호 , 이상일 , 김용익 , 신영수
Abstract
Hemodialysis is becoming an estabilished way of treating chronic renal failured patients in our country. But this treatment modality requires lifelong mainte- nance. So that its high cost exerts significant impact upon medical finance and therefore the prediction of incidence rate and treatment number should be impor- tant. This study was carried out by use of the patient fiow model consisting of conservative treatment group, kidney transplantation group, hemodialysis group, per- itoneal dialysis group, dead group, and drop-out group and simple linear regression analysis in order to provide basic data for the management of chronic renal failured patients. Expected numbers of annual hemodialysis patients during 1986-1990 were estimated to be 982, 1133, 1364, 1662, and 1889 each year. Further refinement of the model and its parameter was required for improving the accuracy of estimation.
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